Insights on agency growth, M&A strategy, and preparing for exit
Drawn from 25 years of building, scaling, and selling agencies as a founder, CEO, chair and consultant
The white-label extinction
Most American SEO agencies resell the same white-labelled platforms. AI has called that bluff, and buyers see thirty thousand agencies with no reason to exist.
Bags of cash
In 2007 we showed Virgin Holidays every pound in returned twenty-six. The budget doubled. AI now asks every agency a blunt question. Efficiency is no answer.
Buyers look under the hood now
Serious buyers no longer settle for the polished management meeting. Strategy days, secret-shopper enquiries and candid client calls inspect the team beneath.
Pre-build the agency
Told his window had closed because valuations average three years, a founder started anyway. Most discount factors never reach the accounts. Offers followed.
The client concentration sum
A $3m agency with a $1m client expects $2.4m at four times profit. The buyer prices it as the $2m agency it would be without that client, at two times: $800k.
You didn't invent the multiple
The going-rate multiple is the buyer's opening anchor and everything after it moves down. In the US, with more sellers than buyers, be clean or stay unsold.
A multiple is a measure of confidence
Your multiple is not a grade for twenty years of work. It measures a buyer's confidence in cash flow after you have gone, and every visible risk lowers it.
Twenty per cent growth is standing still
Take inflation, wage inflation and one lost client off a 20 per cent growth target and the agency ends the year where it started. Two years, three times.
Your leadership team cannot scale you
Your senior leadership team was hired to preserve what exists. Growth is a different job, done by a Growth Lab team drawn from every level of the business.
Swallows in a nest
The charisma that gets an agency to its first million teaches the team to wait to be fed. Past two or three million that becomes a ceiling, felt as stress.
The seven-week exit
The best deal I ever did, I left seven weeks after completion, because the agency already ran without me. The alternative is three years working for a boss.
The earnout statistic
Six out of ten agency founders do not finish their own earnout, and buyers price that in. You become most valuable at the point you become unnecessary.
The Case Study Problem
Good team, strong clients, four case studies on the website, the newest from 2022. One short case study a month roughly doubled contact page conversion.
The Founder's Network
All ten of an agency's last clients came through the founder personally. Nine months later, 40 per cent of new business came through channels without him.
How I built an AI version of Scale at Speed
From a coffee app built on a rainy Saturday to Scale at Speed AI, distilled from the book, a 160,000-word course and terabytes of workshop video.
The Quiet Client
Three clients left in eight weeks with no complaints and high survey scores. The work had drifted into maintenance. Nobody had done anything wrong.
The Wrong Hire
A head of new business produced nothing in six months. The proposition could have described any mid-size agency. The next hire closed two clients in a quarter.
The Quarterly Review
An agency's first real quarterly review found designers at 115 per cent utilisation and the biggest service line the least profitable. Half an hour of clarity.
The Margin Question
His agency got 35 per cent faster with AI and clients asked for lower prices. He repriced around outcomes instead. Margins went from 22 to 34 per cent.
The Pitch Gap
An agency lost a pitch to a rival offering half the timeline for the same scope. The rival had rebuilt around AI. The founder had not known the gap existed.
Let’s talk
If you’re serious about building significant value, preparing for an exit, or executing a roll-up strategy, get in touch below. I’ll respond personally.